Pennsylvania

Governor Doug Mastrian? Why is it not so far away. And other forecasts for November – Morning Bell

It may be several days until all the results of the primary election in Pennsylvania on Tuesday are known. But confident enough that we can start looking ahead to what may happen in November in the interim.

If you are looking for your Tums, you have a lot of company. Save for me.

Pennsylvania will soon become Florida, and he will become the King and legislature controlled by the Republican Party to carry out his orders.

Republican establishment did it all could prevent Mastriana, 2020 election conspiracy champion and QAnon crowd member, from winning on Tuesday. He doesn’t seem to have a prayer for the beating of well-funded Democrat Josh Shapiro in November.

Do not believe. This is a real possibility.

Candidates Jake Corman and Melissa Hart dropped out of the race and supported former Congressman Lou Barlettin the hope that he will be able to defeat Mastrian and give the Republicans a chance to fight in the general election.

Republican Senate leader Kim Ward backed another candidate, Dave White.

Pennsylvania Megadon Jeff Yass has asked candidate Bill McSwain to also drop him so as not to split votes and clear the way for Mastrian, The New York Times reported Monday.

The right-wing House of Entrepreneurs Commonwealth Partners declined to support Mastrian, saying in a statement that he “will not be able to win the number of voters needed to win in November”.

Heck, even me returned to the Republican Party in Tuesday’s electionrejecting my status as an independent voter so that I could vote for a candidate other than him.

It seems that Shapiro wanted Mastriana to be his opponent. Before the primaries, he advertised attacks against him.

But don’t count Mastrian.

Remember that in 2016, no one tried Donald Trump either. Polls lagged behind him. And he won.

Many Trump voters support Mastrian. And in the interim, you can bet they will vote in large numbers if Republicans seek to regain control of Congress and build a path to the White House’s return in 2024.

Many Republican voters in Pennsylvania, who preferred other candidates in the primaries, will vote for Mastrian in November, even if they have to swallow several Tumas before that.

They would consider it a better alternative than allowing another Democrat to sleep in the governor’s mansion.

It would be easy to predict that the November gubernatorial election will be a repeat of 2018, when a steady, boring Democrat Tom Wolfe beat up Scott Wagner, a brazen clone of Trump.

I would not make such a bet. The Mastrian-Shapiro race will be intense.

Who won the primaries for both sides may not matter. The race can be decided in November based on whether voters are angry over inflation or the cancellation of Rowe v. Wade (provided it happens as leaked draft Supreme Court opinion suggests).

If voters are more concerned about their pockets than women’s right to vote, then Republican candidates should get more votes. If voters in the middle of the road believe that the right to abortion is more important than rising costs, Democratic candidates should win.

Expect abortion and inflation to dominate companies. Independent voters who are not firmly in favor of life and choice, but who are experiencing inflation, will be bombed. Their votes will be desired and they will be pushed to decide which issue is more important.

Whichever party manages to make its issue the main issue in the minds of voters, it wins, even if voters are not particularly enthusiastic about the candidates on their side.

It will be a tougher campaign for Democrats.

Their urban base may not withstand the effects of inflation, like suburban Republicans. Their desire to get rid of financial pressure in real life may be more important than their concern about abortion, a decision they will never face in person.

Morning Call columnist Paul Musik can be reached at 610-820-6582 or paul.muschick@mcall.com

https://www.mcall.com/opinion/mc-opi-pennsylvania-primary-results-mastriano-oz-muschick-20220518-jrpyv3kq2rcphmobhzooakywrq-story.html#ed=rss_www.mcall.com/arcio/rss/category/news/local/

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